26–27 Nov 2026
University of Stavanger, Norway
Europe/Oslo timezone

Fault Diagnostics for Hydrogen-Fuelled Micro Gas Turbines Using Physics-Based Modeling and Random Forest Classification

Not scheduled
20m
KE E-102 (University of Stavanger, Norway)

KE E-102

University of Stavanger, Norway

Paper Contribution Smart Operations and Maintenanc

Speakers

Mustafa Mahmoud Fatalla (Mechanical Engineering, Arab academy for science & Maritime, Alexandria, Egypt) Ali Karimi (Department of Energy and Petroleum Engineering, University of Stavanger, Stavanger, Norway)

Description

The shift toward cleaner energy systems has placed hydrogen at the forefront of fuel research, particularly for distributed power generation where Micro Gas Turbines (MGTs) offer a practical and flexible solution. Unlike conventional fuels, hydrogen produces no CO₂ at the point of combustion, and even a 75% hydrogen blend can cut emissions by up to 50% compared to natural gas. A major roadblock is the lack of real-world hardware failure data for these new systems. To address this, a physics-informed framework is proposed that combines a validated recuperated Brayton cycle thermodynamic model with a Random Forest classifier for fault identification. The baseline thermodynamic model is validated against experimental data from a hydrogen-fuelled MGT test rig, then used to generate synthetic fault datasets by simulating degradation in key components across a range of operating conditions. A Random Forest classifier is trained on this simulated data to identify fault types using only standard measurable parameters. The classifier successfully identifies all simulated faults providing a strong proof-of-concept. The study demonstrates that using physic-based simulations to train machine learning models is a practical way to bypass data scarcity in early-stage hydrogen systems, though field application will eventually require testing against real mechanical failures.

Topic Area Smart Operations and Maintenance

Author

Mustafa Mahmoud Fatalla (Mechanical Engineering, Arab academy for science & Maritime, Alexandria, Egypt)

Co-authors

Ali Karimi (Department of Energy and Petroleum Engineering, University of Stavanger, Stavanger, Norway) Elsayed Saber (Mechanical Engineering, Arab academy for science & Maritime transport , Alexandria, Egypt) Ahmed Abdelsalam Taha (Mechanical Engineering, Arab academy for science & Maritime transport , Alexandria, Egypt) Essam Seddik (Mechanical Engineering, Arab academy for science & Maritime transport, Alexandria, Egypt)

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